In past posts,
I’ve made reference to my geographical past, although never in a comprehensive
manner. Perhaps some readers have
assembled a complete picture of the places that I’ve called home. But I should offer a biographical sketch to
provide context to my recent travels.
Born and
raised in California, I had enough wanderlust that I didn’t want to spend my
entire life in the Golden State. In
1982, I transferred with my employer to Seattle, where I managed a water
resources department.
For family
reasons, I moved to a smaller town in 1987, picking the community of Bend in Oregon’s
high desert, east of the Cascades. Now
with a different employer, I still worked in water resources, but also in land
use. I lived in Bend until I returned to
California in 2000.
I retain
strong attachments to Seattle and Bend.
Seattle, despite its weather and lack of diversity, remains my favorite big
city. Not that I dislike San Francisco,
but I’d pick an afternoon in Seattle over a week in San Francisco. There just something about the air, the
streetscapes, and the neighborhoods that feels right. I haven’t lived there in over 25 years, but when
I set foot on a Seattle sidewalk, it still feels like home.
However, the
connection to Bend is even stronger. It
was the first place where I felt fully integrated into a community and where I
felt my contributions made a difference.
That isn’t
to imply that I had great power in Bend because I didn’t. I didn’t hold public office nor did I manage large
resources. But I sat on several local
committees, provided engineering services for projects that changed the face of
Bend, and could get my phone calls returned. (This would have been in the days when phone
calls were still the dominant way of conducting business.)
At one time,
it seemed that I could walk in downtown Bend, especially in the non-tourism
season, and have a nodding acquaintance with over half the people on the
sidewalk. It was a life I enjoyed.
And now I
was heading back to visit both cities.
Every year, I join friends for a weeklong tour of minor league
ballparks, breweries, and other assorted sites.
This year, we chose to visit the Pacific Northwest.
Over the
course of ten days, I revisited the old places that were once so familiar to me. And I was looking with eyes that were more
attuned to urbanism. It was ten days
filled with surprises and urbanist observations.
Observation
#1: Stroads can hide in plain sight - For many years, Highway 97 was the
primary north-south route through Bend.
It was impossible to live in Bend without being on Highway 97 several
times a week.
Despite that
history, when StrongTowns introduced me to the word “stroad”, I never once
thought of Highway 97. (For those
readers who aren’t familiar with the term, a stroad is a vehicular way stuck
halfway between being a rural road and a city street. It’s an uneasy blending of the two which
results in a dangerous place to drive and an impossible place to walk.)
Upon my
arrival in town, I drove Highway 97 to see what had changed along its route. To my surprise, I realized that it was, and
had always been, a stroad. Although Highway
97 has sidewalks, they are unfriendly places.
I don’t recall seeing a single pedestrian during my recent visit.
Furthermore,
the highway, which was already full of driveways when I lived there, now has
even more driveways, with every driveway providing an opportunity for vehicular
conflict. (While in Bend, I spoke with
an old friend who assured me that the state highway department access
management group has been emasculated to the point that few driveway permits
are denied.)
Highway 97
was an ugly place. And a disappointing reminder of what we can
overlook in our daily lives. I drove on
a stroad on a near-daily basis for 13 years, but never thought of the transportation
failure I was seeing.
Observation
#2: Induced traffic is real - I’ve previously mentioned induced traffic
only in passing. It’s a topic that
deserves a complete exploration, but that will be at another time. For now, I’ll offer a brief introduction.
The theory
of induced traffic argues that drivers make decisions about taking trips and
selecting routes based on the availability of traffic capacity. At the simplest level, whether a driver makes
an optional trip depends on whether the driver expects to encounter heavy
traffic.
In real life
application, the result is that new traffic capacity, whether from new lanes or
new streets, is often consumed by non-essential trips. Conversely, loss of capacity, such as from
street closures or construction, often results in fewer trips being taken. Congestion doesn’t remain static regardless
of street capacity, but it’s closer to static than most older traffic models
predict.
The theory
of induced traffic is one reason that urbanists argue that we can’t build our
way out of traffic congestion. As long
as a local economy remains active, new street capacity will be sucked up while
providing little traffic relief.
A theory
isn’t proved by a single anecdote, but I found a piece of supporting data for
the theory of induced traffic during my visit to Bend.
Highway 97
was bypassed by the Bend Parkway during my final years in Bend. The intent was to reduce traffic on Highway
97. This was my first trip back to Bend
with the Parkway in full operation. I
could have taken the Parkway, but choose to stay on Highway 97 to take a look
at the town. (This was when I realized that
Highway 97 was a stroad.)
In the time
I was away, Bend had grown, but only slightly.
Although it remains a popular tourist destination, population growth has
been slight and property values had plummeted during the recent recession.
Under a
conventional theory of traffic generation, traffic on Highway 97 should been
far less than I remembered. Total
traffic growth should have been small and much of the previous traffic should
have moved to the Parkway. The prediction
would have been wrong. Highway 97 was
bumper-to-bumper through much of Bend.
Induced traffic is alive and well in Bend. Although I’ll wager that someone in Bend is
arguing to add more capacity to deal with the congestion.
Next time,
I’ll write about a Bend land-use decision in which I played a key, but
unsatisfying, role.
As always,
your questions or comments will be appreciated.
Please comment below or email me.
And thanks for reading. - Dave Alden (davealden53@comcast.net)
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